Predicting Tottenham and West Ham’s next three results and who will beat relegation
The Premier League survival race is no longer about math; it is about nerve. The final three games for Tottenham and West Ham will determine who stays up and who falls into the abyss.
Following recent results, Tottenham have managed to claw their way back to 17th place. Roberto De Zerbi’s men have found a second wind, while West Ham have slipped into the bottom three after a demoralising defeat at Brentford.
Looking at the BeSoccer Pro metrics, there is a clear divide in how both teams are approaching this crisis. One side is leaning on individual brilliance, while the other is drowning in defensive instability.
Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham Premier League predictions
Tottenham’s season has been anything but stable, but the numbers from BeSoccer Pro reveal a team that thrives in the eye of the storm. They aren’t surviving by being disciplined; they are surviving by being dangerous. Ranking 2nd in the Premier League for successful dribbles (11.97 per game) and 5th for offensive duels won, Spurs are a side that relies on individual brilliance to break tactical deadlocks.
While they suffer from high turnover rates (113 ball losses per match), this high-risk, high-reward approach under Roberto De Zerbi is exactly what makes them so difficult to kill off in a relegation scrap.
May 11 – Tottenham vs Leeds
Leeds’ defensive organization is statistically among the poorest in the league. For a Spurs side that ranks near the top in 1v1 situations, this is the perfect matchup. Richarlison, who sits in the high percentiles for successful attacking duels according to his player radar, should find plenty of joy against a backline that struggles with isolation.
May 19 – Chelsea vs Tottenham
In a chaotic London derby, Spurs’ “chaos factor” usually pays off. Chelsea’s recent instability matches Tottenham’s unpredictability. Given that Spurs boast a high volume of successful dribbles, they have the tools to bypass Chelsea’s inconsistent midfield press. It will be a battle of attrition, but Tottenham’s knack for winning individual duels away from home should see them edge it.
May 24 – Tottenham vs Everton
The season finale might be where the high-risk approach finally bites back. Everton are the 6th best away side in the league because they punish teams that lose the ball in key areas, and Spurs lose it a lot. While the individual quality is there, Everton’s rigid defensive structure is the natural kryptonite to a side that relies on dribbling over collective passing patterns.
Final Predicted Tally: 43 Points
West Ham United: a defence built on sand
If Tottenham are surviving through flashes of brilliance, West Ham are sinking through collective errors. The “Team Chart” from BeSoccer Pro is painful to look at: conceding 1.7 goals per game is relegation form, plain and simple. You cannot expect to survive in this league with a 17.1% clean sheet rate.
May 10 – West Ham vs Arsenal
Arsenal are chasing the title, and they smell blood. A West Ham defence that consistently fails to track runners and loses focus in the final third will likely be picked apart. It’s hard to see anything other than a long afternoon for the Hammers.
May 17 – Newcastle vs West Ham
St James’ Park isn’t the fortress it used to be; Newcastle actually concedes more goals at home (1.61) than away. This should be an opportunity, but West Ham’s own metrics suggest they won’t take it. With 107 ball losses per match, they are prone to gifting chances in dangerous areas. Newcastle’s ability to punish these errors will likely lead to another scoreless afternoon for Nuno’s side.
May 24 – West Ham vs Leeds
This ‘grand finale’ will be painful no matter what. West Ham look set to exit the Premier League in a manner as dramatic and painful as their 2010-11 campaign. It won’t be pretty, and it certainly won’t be tactical. But at the London Stadium, Jarrod Bowen and his 11 goals have to show up. Against a Leeds defence that is arguably just as shaky, West Ham should find enough fire to grab a win.
Final Predicted Tally: 39 Points
The verdict: Spurs pass the survival tightrope
The BeSoccer Pro stats suggest that Tottenham have a higher ceiling in individual battles, which should see them safe with 43 points. Even a final-day slip-up against a strong travelling Everton wouldn’t be enough to undo the vital work done in the previous two games.
For West Ham, finishing on 39 points is a nightmare scenario. Their –19 goal difference is a massive liability, and their inability to keep clean sheets means they are always one mistake away from disaster. Even with a final day win, the damage done throughout the season is too great.
