Opta supercomputer issues new relegation verdict for West Ham after Tottenham lose to Chelsea

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Well then, West Ham United’s bid for Premier League survival will go down to the final day of the season.

While Nuno Espirito Santo’s side looked dead and buried following Sunday’s defeat to Newcastle United, relegation rivals Tottenham have once again left the door open for them.

WE’RE STILL ALIVE 😍😍 How has Tottenham’s defeat made YOU feel about our survival chances?!

Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in! 😂

A graphic showing the Premier League table from 14-18 after 37 games of the 2025/26 season. Background image shows Nuno Espirito Santo during a West Ham United game.
Getty ID: 2274935984

Spurs could have effectively secured their Premier League safety on Tuesday night with just a draw but lost 2-1 at Chelsea to give West Ham United hope.

Here’s what the famous Opta supercomputer makes of it all.

West Ham given 86.67% chance of relegation, Spurs 13.33%

There are now only two points in it with just one match left to play.

West Ham are still favourites to go down and Opta’s analytics rate their chances of being relegated at 86.67%.

Spurs, meanwhile, are handed a 13.33% chance.

How do you FEEL about West Ham wanting to keep Nuno next season? 😳

A graphic showing the statement: "Discuss - West Ham 'want Nuno to stay' even if they relegated." Image shows Nuno Espirito Santo during a West Ham game.
Credit: Getty Images/Michael Regan

A battle that has waged on for months will go down to the final day of a turbulent campaign for two fierce rivals.

Spurs have consistently failed to put West Ham away when they could have done and could well live to regret it.

Somehow, the Irons are still alive.

The bottom end of the Premier League table is where the most intrigue lies heading into the final day, with Arsenal having won the title following Manchester City’s draw with Bournemouth.

Nuno Espirito Santo smiles during West Ham's Premier League game away at Crystal Palace.
Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images

What West Ham need to avoid relegation from the Premier League

The maths are pretty simple for West Ham. They need to beat Leeds at the London Stadium on Sunday and hope that Spurs lose at home to Everton.

Anything other than that scenario would see them relegated.

Spurs, clearly, are still in the driving seat.

They are masters of their own destiny, although that is not currently a luxury that they have relished thus far.

The fact that West Ham are playing at home is also significant. They have largely been good there since the turn of the year, and the London Stadium will no doubt be the scene of quite the atmosphere on Sunday.



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